FUMEO , Emanuele

Current train delay (TD) prediction systems do not take advantage of state-of-the-art tools and techniques for handling and extracting useful and actionable information from the large amount of endogenous (i.e., generated by the railway system itself) and exogenous (i.e., related to railway operation but generated by external phenomena) data...

Current train delay prediction systems do not take advantage of state-of-the-art tools and techniques for handling and extracting useful and actionable information from the large amount of historical train movements data collected by the railway information systems. Instead, they rely on static rules built by experts of the railway...

State-of-The-Art train delay prediction systems neither exploit historical data about train movements, nor exogenous data about phenomena that can affect railway operations. They rely, instead, on static rules built by experts of the railway infrastructure based on classical univariate statistics. The purpose of this paper is to build a...