REBORA , Nicola

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The forecast of flash floods is sometimes impossible. In the last two decades, Numerical Weather Prediction Systems have become increasingly reliable with significant improvements in terms of quantitative precipitation forecasts. However, despite the application of modern probabilistic hydrometeorological chains, some significant flood events...

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A method is introduced for stochastic rainfall downscaling that can be easily applied to the precipitation forecasts provided by meteorological models. Our approach, called the Rainfall Filtered Autoregressive Model (RainFARM), is based on the nonlinear transformation of a Gaussian random field, and it conserves the information present in the...

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Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting chains are increasingly becoming an operational tool used by civil protection centres for issuing flood alerts. One of the most important requests of decision makers is to have reliable systems, for this reason an accurate verification of their predictive performances become essential. The aim of...

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Coastal zones are fragile and dynamic environments, most of the time largely urbanized and particularly vulnerable to natural hazards. Therefore, coastal areas are often exposed to high risk and shoreline position monitoring and modelling is required to mitigate it. In this context, satellite data are fundamental to provide synoptic and...