Published 2018
| Version v1
Journal article
Short arc orbit determination and imminent impactors in the Gaia era
Contributors
Others:
- Department of Computer Science [Verona] (UNIVR | DI) ; Università degli studi di Verona = University of Verona (UNIVR)
- Institut de Mécanique Céleste et de Calcul des Ephémérides (IMCCE) ; Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Paris ; Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Lille-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
- Department of Mathematics ; University of Pisa - Università di Pisa
- Joseph Louis LAGRANGE (LAGRANGE) ; Université Nice Sophia Antipolis (1965 - 2019) (UNS) ; COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de la Côte d'Azur ; COMUE Université Côte d'Azur (2015-2019) (COMUE UCA)-Université Côte d'Azur (UCA)-Université Côte d'Azur (UCA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
Description
Short-arc orbit determination is crucial when an asteroid is first discovered. In these cases usually the observations are so few that the differential correction procedure may not converge. We developed an initial orbit computation method, based on systematic ranging, which is an orbit determination technique that systematically explores a raster in the topocentric range and range-rate space region inside the admissible region. We obtained a fully rigorous computation of the probability for the asteroid that could impact the Earth within a few days from the discovery without any a priori assumption. We tested our method on the two past impactors, 2008 TC3 and 2014 AA, on some very well known cases, and on two particular objects observed by the European Space Agency Gaia mission.
Abstract
International audienceAdditional details
Identifiers
- URL
- https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02307504
- URN
- urn:oai:HAL:hal-02307504v1
Origin repository
- Origin repository
- UNICA