Methods and tools in geoprospective.

Chapter Outline4.1 Introduction 864.2 Types of scenarios of territorial futures 864.2.1 Qualitative, quantitative, and hybrid scenarios 864.2.2 Scenario-building methods 874.2.3 Territorialized prospective scenarios combining several territorial and organizational scales 884.3 The modeling approach in geoprospective 904.3.1 Uncertain knowledge in territorial geoprospective and its formalizations 904.3.2 The specificities of geoprospective modeling 924.3.3 A wide range of modeling methods 934.4 Modeling spatially explicit prospective based on the land change approach 944.5 Coupling prospective spatial modeling and decision aid tools 974.5.1 Companion modeling 974.5.2 Spatial prospective and companion modeling: toward a jointly constructed and informeddecision 984.5.3 Introducing the modeling of the decision-making process into geoprospective 1004.6 Uncertain causal models in the geoprospective approach 1014.6.1 Rationale and options for uncertain causal models 1014.6.2 Bayesian Networks as geoprospective models 1024.7 Beyond probabilities in geoprospective uncertain causal models 1054.8 Geovisualization—representing and sharing the knowledge gained from spatialmodels 1084.8.1 Graphic modeling and prospective choremes 1094.8.2 3D representations and geoprospective 1114.9 Conclusion 115Acknowledgements 117References 117