Pliocene to Quaternary deformation in the Var Basin (Nice, SE France) and its interpretation in terms of "slow-active" faulting

Description

Seismic hazard assessment of active faults in slow orogenic domains is a challenging issue. In this paper we present a multi-disciplinary approach based on a Digital Elevation Model (DEM), 3D-geological modelling, fracture analysis, and strain analysis of pebbles in a Pliocene molasse basin. The basin is cross-cut by "slow-active" faults of the Donaréo and St Blaise-Aspremont fault system. The DEM shows a topographic disturbance emphasized by slope gradients and the drainage system, which is ascribed to the Plio-Quaternary fault trace. Fracturation analysis evidences two fault corridors oriented approximately N150°E and N20°E. Paleo-stress analysis provides orientations similar to those derived from the focal mechanisms of current regional seismicity, with the main stress σ1 oriented N20°E and a (σ2 − σ3)/(σ1 − σ3) ratio of 0.31. The σ2 versus σ3 permutations are in agreement with ongoing strike-slip deformation at least since the early Pliocene. Discontinuous fracturation and comparison with seismic monitoring on regional active fault zones suggest that shallow seismicity may be expressed by low-magnitude (Mw < 4) seismic swarms. Deformation of pebbles occurs mainly by pressure-dissolution processes. Pebble striation orientations show a bimodal distribution, parallel to the two fault strands. Pebble deformation and the paucity of striated surfaces along the main faults suggests rare seismic deformation and long-lasting aseismic creep processes. Geometrical 3D analysis shows the formation and migration of a Plio-Quaternary basin about 500 metres east of the main fault system, together with folding and tilting of the post-Messinian Pliocene molasse. These observations indicate that the fault remained active from the Pliocene to the Quaternary, and possibly up to the present time. However, the estimates of the minimum slip rate on the faults of about 0.02 mm a−1 vertical and 0.03 mm a−1 horizontal are unlikely to produce any significant high-magnitude earthquakes, but rather swarm-like low-magnitude seismicity with long temporal recurrence.

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